Nonagon

Anticipate the Supply-Demand Balance That Drives Prices

Get accurate, price-area-level forecasts of wind, solar, consumption, and residual load, plus conventional production (thermal and nuclear), cross-border flow actuals, and hydrology, across Europe and Japan.

Your Fundamentals Platform for Traders, Analysts, Asset Owners, and Grid Operators.

Volue Production & Consumption Forecasts gives you price-area-level forecasts and actuals for power fundamentals across Europe and Japan, from RES to conventional. 

Renewables now set the price, and they move with the weather. Residual load has become a critical price driver. Yet raw fundamentals data from TSOs and exchanges is fragmented, inconsistent, and slow to update, so you react too slowly. 

Volue Production & Consumption Forecasts builds these forecasts on multiple deterministic and probabilistic weather sources (ECMWF, GFS, ICON, Jua.ai) you can choose and weigh, and delivers consistent, gap-free series across Europe and Japan via API, Excel Add-In, Python client, and web interface. 

KEY FEATURES

Full Fundamentals Coverage

Wind, solar, consumption, and residual load, plus conventional (nuclear and thermal) production, cross-border flow actuals, and a full hydrology suite. Product offering covers the fundamentals of the European and Japanese power system – from weather data to expected demand and supply curves. 

Price-Area Granularity

Models are built at the individual price-area level and aggregated to country and regional views. Coverage spans European price areas and all 10 Japanese zones.  

Your Choice of Weather Sources

Separate curve sets for ECMWF deterministic, the 50-scenario ensemble, and 46-day forecasts, plus GFS, ICON, and ERA5. Select the sources you trust and weigh them your way.

Hybrid, Weather-Aware Modeling

Machine-learning models for wind and solar, and calendar-and-weather regression with a Kalman-filter correction for consumption. A full hydrology suite including AI-based inflow models.

Full Fundamentals Coverage

Wind, solar, consumption, and residual load, plus conventional (nuclear and thermal) production, cross-border flow actuals, and a full hydrology suite. Product offering covers the fundamentals of the European and Japanese power system – from weather data to expected demand and supply curves. 

BENEFITS

Better-Timed Trades and Dispatch

Anticipate residual load and price direction to time day-ahead and make intraday decisions with more confidence.

Anticipate Congestion and Curtailment

Use extended-horizon, area-level forecasts to flag expected congestion and curtailment periods ahead of time.

No Data Plumbing

Drop the custom pipelines for cleaning and reconciling inconsistent TSO and ENTSO-E data, and work from consistent, gap-free series.

Earlier Risk Visibility

See supply-demand imbalance sooner and, in hydro markets, your water-resource position versus normal.

A Foundation for Strategy

Build and backtest with 5 to 10 years of actuals and forecasts, accessible via API, Python, and Excel.

USE CASES

Power traders need to anticipate residual load and price direction across day-ahead and intraday, but fragmented data and slow updates get in the way. Volue Production & Consumption Forecasts gives you price-area-level wind, solar, and consumption forecasts, and the residual load that drives prices, refreshed through the day. You see where the supply-demand balance is heading and act before the market does. 

Owners and operators of wind, solar, and hydro assets need area-level production forecasts to plan dispatch, hedging, and maintenance in a market context. Volue Production & Consumption Forecasts predicts expected output for each price area, with hydrological balance and inflow visibility for hydro assets. It also flags when curtailment and congestion are likely, so you can plan dispatch around the wider market, not just your own assets.

Market analysts track fundamental price drivers and forecast evolution, but scattered tools give no unified view. Volue Production & Consumption Forecasts brings wind, solar, demand, conventional, exchange, and hydrology data into one platform, with movement between price-area, country, and regional views. With 5 to 10 years of history and built-in Track Record pages, you benchmark accuracy and build strategy with confidence.

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